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Iran,
Oman
Work
Toward
Interim
Agreement
on
Hormuz
Passage
Iran
and Oman
move
closer
to an
interim
shipping
agreement,
but
disputes
over
maritime
control,
security
guarantees
and
Washington’s
role
continue
to
threaten
a final
breakthrough
Daoud
Al-Jaber
- Middle
East
Affairs
Analysis
Tell Us
Worldwide
News
Network
CAIRO -
Iran and
Oman are
edging
toward
an
interim
agreement
aimed at
restoring
commercial
traffic
through
the
Strait
of
Hormuz,
but the
reported
progress
remains
fragile,
with key
questions
still
unresolved
over
control
of the
shipping
lanes,
maritime
security
and
Iran’s
authority
over
vessels
using
the
route.
Iranian
officials
say
negotiations
have
entered
the
final
drafting
phase.
The
proposed
arrangement
would
establish
designated
corridors
for
commercial
ships,
including
a route
through
Iranian
waters
for
vessels
entering
the
Persian
Gulf and
a
separate
passage
near
Oman for
outbound
traffic.
However,
neither
Muscat
nor
Washington
has
publicly
confirmed
that a
final
agreement
has been
reached.
The
talks
are
unfolding
amid a
wider
confrontation
involving
Iran,
the
United
States
and the
security
of one
of the
world’s
most
important
waterways.
Any
agreement
would
have to
address
vessel
inspections,
naval
escorts,
communications,
mine
clearance
and
responsibility
for
responding
to
incidents
at sea.
Reports
of a
possible
60-day
interim
framework
have
added
urgency
to the
diplomacy.
Under
the
reported
plan,
inbound
ships
would
use a
northern
passage
through
Iranian
waters,
while
outbound
vessels
would
travel
through
a
southern
lane
under
Omani
coordination.
The
proposal
could
initially
suspend
transit
fees and
reserve
a
central
channel
for
later
use
after
mines
and
other
hazards
had been
cleared.
For
Tehran,
the
issue is
inseparable
from its
claim to
a
decisive
role in
waters
adjacent
to its
territory.
Iranian
officials
have
described
the
discussions
with
Oman as
a
maritime
arrangement
rather
than
direct
negotiations
with
Washington.
They
have
also
indicated
that an
agreement
on
shipping
routes
would
not
necessarily
amount
to a
full
reopening
of the
strait.
That
distinction
is
politically
significant.
Iran can
present
the
negotiations
as a
sovereign
regional
initiative
while
avoiding
the
appearance
of
conceding
to
American
pressure.
But any
formula
that
gives
Tehran
effective
control
over the
principal
passage
would
face
opposition
from
Washington
and
regional
governments
that
depend
on
uninterrupted
access
to the
Gulf.
Oman is
serving
as the
essential
intermediary,
drawing
on
longstanding
ties
with
both
Iran and
the
United
States.
Muscat’s
diplomacy
has
traditionally
relied
on quiet
negotiations
and
incremental
confidence-building
rather
than
public
declarations,
making
it
particularly
suited
to a
crisis
in which
every
statement
can be
interpreted
as a
concession.
Oman
must
help
secure a
workable
route
without
appearing
to
endorse
unilateral
Iranian
control.
It must
also
reassure
shipping
companies
and Gulf
governments
that
commercial
vessels
will not
become
instruments
in a
broader
strategic
confrontation.
The
United
States
has not
endorsed
the
reported
framework.
American
officials
have
indicated
that
Washington
would
reject
any
arrangement
that
left
Iran in
control
of the
entire
waterway.
Reports
have
also
linked a
possible
agreement
to
broader
measures
involving
Iranian
ports
and the
wider
confrontation
between
Washington
and
Tehran.
The
negotiations
therefore
remain
suspended
between
regional
diplomacy
and
great-power
pressure.
Tehran
insists
the
talks
are with
Oman,
but
Washington
remains
a
decisive
factor
in
determining
whether
any
agreement
can
operate
in
practice.
The
current
status
is best
described
as near
agreement
rather
than
final
settlement.
Iran
says
route
coordinates
have
been
settled
and that
a joint
statement
is being
prepared,
but
implementation
details
and the
political
conditions
surrounding
the
reopening
remain
unresolved.
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