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NBC
News/Telemundo
Poll:
Latino
Voters
Shift
Toward
Democrats
Ahead of
Midterms
Agustina
Lopez
Castro -
Latin
American
Reporter
Tell Us
USA News
Network
WASHINGTON
- Latino
registered
voters
are
moving
sharply
toward
Democrats
ahead of
the
November
midterm
elections,
driven
by
dissatisfaction
with
President
Donald
Trump’s
handling
of the
economy,
cost of
living
and
immigration
enforcement,
according
to a new
NBC
News/Telemundo
poll.
The
survey
found
that 59%
of
Latino
voters
want
Democrats
to
control
Congress,
compared
with 35%
who
prefer
Republican
control
— a
24-point
Democratic
advantage.
That
margin
is twice
the
12-point
Democratic
lead
recorded
among
Latino
voters
in a
comparable
NBC News
poll at
this
point in
2024.
Trump’s
overall
job
approval
among
Latino
voters
stood at
27%,
while
69%
disapproved,
the poll
found.
His
weakest
ratings
came on
issues
that
respondents
identified
as
central
to their
lives:
78%
disapproved
of his
handling
of the
cost of
living
and 74%
disapproved
of his
handling
of the
economy.
Inflation
and the
cost of
living
ranked
as the
top
issue
for 33%
of
Latino
voters,
while
52%
placed
it first
or
second
among
their
concerns.
Nearly
two-thirds,
63%,
said
their
household
income
is
falling
behind
the cost
of
living;
25% said
it is
keeping
pace,
and 11%
said it
is
rising
faster
than
expenses.
The poll
also
showed a
reversal
from the
2024
campaign,
when
Trump
and
Republicans
held an
advantage
among
Latino
voters
on
economic
issues.
Latino
voters
now give
Democrats
a
21-point
edge on
handling
the
economy.
Among
respondents
who
listed
the cost
of
living
as their
top
issue,
Democrats
held a
22-point
advantage
in the
congressional
preference
question.
In the
2024
survey,
Republicans
had a
4-point
edge
among
that
same
group.
Latino
voters
expressed
broad
support
for
deporting
undocumented
immigrants
who have
committed
serious
crimes,
with 83%
backing
that
policy.
But only
37%
supported
deporting
every
undocumented
immigrant
in the
United
States.
Two-thirds
of
respondents
said the
Trump
administration’s
immigration-enforcement
measures
have
gone too
far,
compared
with 22%
who said
the
administration
has
struck
the
right
balance
and 9%
who said
it has
not gone
far
enough.
Trump’s
approval
rating
on
immigration
was 31%,
while
69%
disapproved.
On
border
security,
39%
approved
and 58%
disapproved.
The poll
found
that
immigration
enforcement
has had
direct
personal
effects
for some
voters.
Thirty-one
percent
said
they or
someone
close to
them had
begun
carrying
identification
because
of
concerns
about
Immigration
and
Customs
Enforcement,
and 27%
said
they
knew
someone
who had
been
detained
or
deported
by ICE
during
the past
two
years.
The
survey
offers a
warning
for
Republicans
looking
to
preserve
or
expand
gains
made
with
Latino
voters
in 2024,
particularly
in
competitive
districts
and
states
with
large
Hispanic
populations.
Sixty-two
percent
of
Latino
voters
now view
the
Republican
Party
negatively,
up 16
points
from
2024. By
comparison,
42% have
a
negative
view of
the
Democratic
Party, a
4-point
increase
over the
same
period.
Still,
the
findings
are not
an
unqualified
endorsement
of
Democrats.
Republicans
continue
to
attract
more
Latino
support
than in
any
comparable
poll
before
the 2024
cycle,
while
Democratic
Party
favorability
has not
improved.
The
current
Democratic
advantage
appears
tied
largely
to
opposition
to Trump
and
economic
frustration
rather
than
enthusiasm
for the
party
itself.
The poll
also
found
strong
midterm
engagement.
Seventy-two
percent
of
Latino
voters
rated
their
interest
in the
November
election
as 10 on
a
10-point
scale,
up from
54% at
the same
point in
2024.
Fifty-four
percent
said
their
vote
would
primarily
signal
opposition
to
Trump,
compared
with 21%
who said
it would
signal
support
for him.
The NBC
News/Telemundo
poll
surveyed
800
registered
Latino
voters
nationwide
from
Sept. 21
through
Sept.
28.
Interviews
were
conducted
by
telephone
and
through
an
online
survey
distributed
by text
message,
with 20%
conducted
in
Spanish.
The
poll’s
margin
of error
was plus
or minus
3.5
percentage
points.
This
Tell Us
USA News
Network
report
is
produced
in part
by Ai
and can
make
mistakes.
Please
contact
and let
us know
of any
errors
you may
find.
info@tellususa.com
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